HomeFuture Timeline2024
Read 419 predictions for 2024, a year that will see the world transform in big and small ways; this includes disruptions throughout our culture, technology, science, health and business sectors. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.
https://www.quantumrun.com/future-timeline/2024The aviation industry fully recovers from the COVID-19 downturn. Likelihood: 85 percent.Link
A total solar eclipse event is scheduled from April 3-9, 2024 across North America. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
The COVID-19 endemic phase begins. Likelihood: 70 percent.Link
Gold prices reach record highs due to decreasing interest rates. Likelihood: 65 percent.Link
Bitcoin gathers bullish momentum at the end of the year. Likelihood: 60 percent.Link
El Niño continues through spring. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
OPEC expects a global oil demand growth of 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd). Likelihood: 65 percent.Link
IEA anticipates slowing global demand for oil at 900,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 990,000 in 2023. Likelihood: 65 percent.Link
Generative AI growth slows down due to global regulations and high data training costs. Likelihood: 60 percent.Link
Winter in North America experiences below-average snowfall due to El Niño. Likelihood: 75 percent.Link
Up to 110 million people globally need food assistance due to El Niño. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
The USD $300-million Asia Link Cable (ALC) subsea network begins construction. Likelihood: 65 percent.Link
A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket carrying a lunar lander is launched to conduct 10 science and technology experiments. Likelihood: 65 percent.Link
NATO conducts its largest military drill since the Cold War across the Baltics, Poland, and Germany. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
Global production of farmed shrimp grows 4.8 percent. Likelihood: 65 percent.Link
Global computer chip sales rebounds to a 12 percent growth. Likelihood: 70 percent.Link
Volcanic comet 12P/Pons-Brooks makes its closest approach to Earth and may be seen by the naked eye on the sky. Likelihood: 75 percent.Link
R21, the second malaria vaccine approved by the WHO, starts rolling out. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
Meta releases its celebrity AI chatbot service. Likelihood: 85 percent.Link
People aged 65 and older outnumber the youth in Europe. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
Half of successful companies in Asia-Pacific meaningfully reports their carbon footprint. Likelihood: 70 percent.Link
NATO finalizes its strategy to collaborate with its "Southern neighborhood," like the Middle East and North Africa. Likelihood: 70 percent.Link
Global imports of LNG increases by 16%. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
Renewable energy becomes the major global electricity source, surpassing coal. Likelihood: 70 percent.Link
Global solar PV manufacturing capacity doubles, reaching nearly 1 terrawatt. Likelihood: 70 percent.Link
Middle East airlines rebound to pre-pandemic levels. Likelihood: 80 percent.Link
Swedish truck maker Scania and H2 Green Steel start producing trucks with fossil-free steel before moving the entire production to green steel in 2027–2028. Likelihood: 70 percentLink
The H2 Green Steel consortium's fossil-free plant makes its first green steel. Likelihood: 70 percentLink
The global minimum corporate tax rate of 15% takes effect. Likelihood: 60 percentLink
NASA launches the lunar program “Artemis" with a two-person crew spacecraft. Likelihood: 80 percentLink
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration launches the Psyche mission, aiming to study the unique metal-rich asteroid orbiting the Sun between Mars and Jupiter. Likelihood: 50 percentLink
Space Entertainment Enterprise launches a film production studio 250 miles above Earth. Likelihood: 70 percentLink
The first commercial hydrogen-electric flights between London and Rotterdam start operating. Likelihood: 60 percentLink
The European Parliament and the Council of the European Union pass and implement new asylum and migration laws. Likelihood: 75 percentLink
All new devices on the European Union market is required to include a USB-C charging port to reduce electronic waste, affecting Apple devices. Likelihood: 80 percentLink
The Digital Services Act, which ensures the safety of users online and establishes governance of the protection of fundamental digital rights, takes affect across the European Union. Likelihood: 80 percentLink
Since 2022, about 57% of companies globally have invested more in information communication technology, particularly among the biotechnology, retail, finance, food and beverage, and public administration sectors. Likelihood: 70 percentLink
COVID-19 becomes endemic like the flu or the common cold. Likelihood: 80 percentLink
The European Space Agency launches an initial satellite, the Lunar Pathfinder, to the moon to study orbits and communication capabilities. Likelihood: 70 percentLink
After India launched the International Solar Alliance (ISA) with France in 2015, India spends $1 billion in solar energy projects across the Asia region. Likelihood: 70%Link
After India and China formed a partnership in 2017 to collaborate on two-dimensional (2D) barcodes, the gateways for linking genuine buyers and sellers, as well as making digital payments by scanning QR codes, China becomes the dominant force in the Asia region for the global digital economy. Likelihood: 50%Link
India partners with France and builds six reactors of a 10,000 MW nuclear power plant project in Maharashtra. Likelihood: 70%Link
The Extremely Large Telescope (ELT), the world's largest optical and infrared telescope, is completed.Link
More than 50 percent of Internet traffic to homes will be from appliances and other home devices.Link
The Fehmarn Belt Fixed Link between Denmark and Germany is expected to open.Link
New prosthetic models convey sensations of feeling.Link
First manned mission to Mars.Link
More than 50% of Internet traffic to homes will be from appliances and other home devices.Link
Artificial muscles used in robots can lift more weight and generate more mechanical power than human musclesLink
New prosthetic models convey sensations of feelingLink
First manned mission to MarsLink
Global reserves of Indium is fully mined and depletedLink
Saudi Arabia's "Jubail II" is fully builtLink
Fast Forecast
The global minimum corporate tax rate of 15% takes effect. Link
NASA launches the lunar program “Artemis" with a two-person crew spacecraft. Link
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration launches the Psyche mission, aiming to study the unique metal-rich asteroid orbiting the Sun between Mars and Jupiter. Link
Space Entertainment Enterprise launches a film production studio 250 miles above Earth. Link
The first commercial hydrogen-electric flights between London and Rotterdam start operating. Link
The European Parliament and the Council of the European Union pass and implement new asylum and migration laws. Link
All new devices on the European Union market is required to include a USB-C charging port to reduce electronic waste, affecting Apple devices. Link
The Digital Services Act, which ensures the safety of users online and establishes governance of the protection of fundamental digital rights, takes affect across the European Union. Link
Since 2022, about 57% of companies globally have invested more in information communication technology, particularly among the biotechnology, retail, finance, food and beverage, and public administration sectors. Link
COVID-19 becomes endemic like the flu or the common cold. Link
The H2 Green Steel consortium's fossil-free plant makes its first green steel. Link
Swedish truck maker Scania and H2 Green Steel start producing trucks with fossil-free steel before moving the entire production to green steel in 2027–2028. Link
More than 50% of Internet traffic to homes will be from appliances and other home devices. Link
Artificial muscles used in robots can lift more weight and generate more mechanical power than human muscles Link
New prosthetic models convey sensations of feeling Link
First manned mission to Mars Link
Cost of solar panels, per watt, equals 0.9 US dollars Link
Global reserves of Indium is fully mined and depleted Link
Saudi Arabia's "Jubail II" is fully built Link
World population forecasted to reach 8,067,008,000 Link
World sales of electric vehicles reaches 9,206,667 Link
Predicted global mobile web traffic equals 84 exabytes Link
Global Internet traffic grows to 348 exabytes