Well in fairness there is only one current topic that would prompt the OP so deduction is simple in determining exactly what I was talking about.
I wasn't referring to the current topic, (which was deduced as Iraqi troop withdrawls). The reference was to what I'd indicated however, the point is moot so, moving on ...
Anyone aware of current events knows that all our troops are leaving Iraq and that this is not what was wanted and we couldn't reach a diplomatic solution to allow us to leave troops there under conditions that our military would agree to. We intended to leave some troops behind and this was strongly advised from the pentagon and even the administration stated they wanted to leave troops beyond the date.
Are you directly implying that the objective was to leave U.S. troops in Iraq indefinitely or, at least past the end of this year?
So when you asked what fumble my response was whatever one caused this end as there was absolutely no reason we couldn't have had exactly what we wanted and there has hardly ever been an easier diplomatic objective than this.
I see; you are alluding to some unspecified "fumble", (hence my use of the word "vague"), which lead to the current situation, yes?
I worked under both S4 and S2 and am familiar with as much as can be from handling incoming and outgoing communications (especially outgoing since I had to proof and type many to military standards). In this case, though, troop withdrawal operations are irrelevant as the topic pertains to the Iraq Status of Forces Agreement forged under Bush.
The topic does pertain to the Iraq Status of Forces Agreement however, operational security matters extend beyond that agreement and include other aspects of theatre-wide operations. For instance, the geographic proximity of Afghanistan to Iraq and deployed forces therein. All I'm suggesting is that there is more than meets the eye to the situation than the I.S.F.A. alone.
That we wanted to leave some troops behind is no mystery either as this was to protect Iraq from Iran ...
Alternate reasons for this are also apparent from a perusal of recent events, (such as Iran's apparent pusuit of nuclear weaponry, for instance). Be that as it may, I agree that there are valid operational reasons for having troops in the region.
Anyone who doesn't see what is coming after we leave has their head in the sand as I can almost guarantee there will be khurd/sunni/shiite turmoil across Iraq. Already Turkey is engaging the Khurds in Iraq and Iran is ready to rally the Shiite against the Sunni. What I see coming there will make the war look like a park re-enactment. So I stand with my ignorance or incompetence position as nobody in the US is going to feel good about what comes out of us leaving in the situation as it is.
Such an outcome as you speculate upon is a strong possibility however, there comes a point when it is realized that such long-standing animosities cannot be resolved by foreign occupying forces. If such animosity remains an internal security problem for Iraq, the international community, (U.N., U.S., others?), would likely intervene at some level. The level of intervention would no doubt increase significantly were such problems to cross borders. Time will tell.
Don't get me wrong, I hope I am wrong but if history is any lesson and current events any indicator/lignitor, I am not wrong.
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